Question 1

How is the win probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

Six factors are scored 1–5, weighted, and summed: strategic fit (15%), past-performance fit (25%), incumbency (15%), technical fit (15%), pricing position (15%), and capacity (15%).

Question 2

What does the recommendation mean?

Accepted Answer

60%+ = Bid, 40–59% = Bid with risk plan, under 40% = No-bid. Use it as a governance heuristic, not a guarantee.

Win Probability Calculator